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Lorenzo Sonego vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Sonego vs Alcaraz analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Lorenzo Sonego vs Carlos Alcaraz Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Sonego 1 - 1 Alcaraz

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Sonego has won 51.01% of points on their second serve, while Alcaraz has won 57.74%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Sonego, in recent form, has won 42.83% of their opponent's second serve points, while Alcaraz has won 58.35%. The same stats for first serve returns are 26.07% and 36.64% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Sonego has saved 59.28% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Alcaraz has saved 62.67% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Sonego has won 42.86% of matches played (W/L 27/ 36), with Alcaraz winning 81.43% (W/L 57/ 13) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Sonego has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 60% (W/L 200/ 135), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 49% (W/L 68/ 72). Alcaraz has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 89% (W/L 16/ 2), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 57% (W/L 13/ 10).
  • Player level: In the last year, Sonego has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 38.71% of matches (W/L 12/ 19), where as Alcaraz has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 76.92% of matches (W/L 20/ 6). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 2 times before with Sonego winning 1 times and Alcaraz being victorious 1 times. They have played 6 sets in total, with Sonego winning 3 and Alcaraz winning 3. The last match between Sonego and Alcaraz was at the Australian Open - Melbourne, 18-01-2024, Second, Hard with Carlos Alcaraz getting the victory 6-4 6-7(3) 6-3 7-6(3).
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:48:3.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Sonego and Alcaraz have played a deciding set 0 times, with Sonego winning 0 times and Alcaraz 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 3 tiebreaks against each other with Sonego winning 2, and Alcaraz 1.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Sonego has played against opponents with an average rank of 111.21 while Alcaraz has played against players with an average rank of 92.8.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Sonego has won 56% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Alcaraz has won 74% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Sonego has converted 35.76% of breakpoint opportunities, and Alcaraz has converted 45.3% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
bet365
Lorenzo Sonego

9

Total

0

Mast

3

Chall

0

Slam

3

Main

3

Minor

58

Rank

21

High

29

Age

R

Plays

1

Total

1

1

Hard

1

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

2

Rank

1

High

21

Age

R

Plays

Carlos Alcaraz

21

Total

5

Mast

4

Chall

3

Slam

6

Main

3

Minor

1

Total

1

1

Hard

1

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

L W L L W L W L W L

Form

W W L W W W W W W W

56% (352-274)

Career Total W/L

79% (255-68)

39% (12-19)

YTD W/L

83% (25-5)

$3,692,825

Career Prize Money

$21,310,640

0

YTD Titles

2

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Sonego VS Alcaraz H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Lorenzo Sonego Carlos Alcaraz
All H2H Matches 1 1
Sets Won 3 3
Games Won 33 34
Aces (Total) 13 13
DFs (Total) 2 7
Avg Match Time 2:48:3 2:48:3
1st Serve % 69% (152/221) 62% (125/201)
1st Serve Win% 65% (99/152) 76% (95/125)
2nd Serve Win% 62% (43/69) 55% (42/76)
BPs Won% (Total) 50% (4/8) 38% (5/13)
Return Points W% 32% (64/201) 36% (79/221)
Best of 3 Sets W% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/1) 100% (1/1)
TBs Win% (Total) 67% (2/3) 33% (1/3)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, W 100% (1/1) 100% (1/1)
1st set W, L 0% (1/0) 0% (1/0)
1st set L, W 0% (1/0) 0% (1/0)

Sonego VS Alcaraz H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-4 6-7(3) 6-3 7-6(3)
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Lorenzo Sonego
68% ( 89 of 130)
1st Serve %
73% ( 103 of 142)
12
Aces
10
4
Double Faults
2
78% ( 69 of 89)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 67 of 103)
71% ( 29 of 41)
2nd Serve Won
67% ( 26 of 39)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
25% ( 32 of 130)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 49 of 142)
147
Total Points Won
125
6-3 7-6(6)
cross
Lorenzo Sonego
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
62% ( 49 of 79)
1st Serve %
51% ( 36 of 71)
3
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
3
65% ( 32 of 49)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 26 of 36)
57% ( 17 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 13 of 35)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
38% ( 30 of 79)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 32 of 71)
81
Total Points Won
69

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Lorenzo Sonego Carlos Alcaraz
YTD W/L 39% (12/19) 83% (25/5)
Sets Win/Loss 41% (34/48) 78% (63/18)
Games Win/Loss 47% (381/432) 60% (444/293)
Hard Win/Loss 33% (4/8) 87% (13/2)
Clay Win/Loss 44% (8/10) 80% (12/3)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/1) 0% (0/0)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.47 0.26
Aces Total 186 93
DFs per game 0.16 0.16
DFs Total 64 57
Avg Match Time 2:9:15 2:2:15
Avg Opp Rank 111.03 116.53
1st Serve % 66% (1647/2488) 67% (1507/2235)
1st Serve W% 71% (1172/1647) 71% (1074/1507)
2nd Serve W% 51% (429/841) 57% (416/728)
BPs Won% Total 36% (59/165) 45% (129/286)
Return Pts W% 32% (794/2468) 44% (1071/2430)
Slam W/L 50% (2/2) 92% (11/1)
Masters W/L 40% (4/6) 86% (12/2)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 25% (3/9) 50% (2/2)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 60% (3/2) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 37% (10/27) 82% (14/17)
Best of 5 Sets W% 50% (2/4) 92% (11/12)
TBs Win% (Total) 54% (7/13) 67% (8/12)
Deciding Set W% 50% (6/12) 83% (5/6)
1st set W, W 67% (12/8) 96% (23/22)
1st set W, L 33% (12/4) 4% (23/1)
1st set L, W 21% (19/4) 50% (6/3)

Lorenzo Sonego Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R2
cross
Zhizhen Zhang
Player
Lorenzo Sonego
59% ( 75 of 127)
1st Serve %
63% ( 83 of 132)
17
Aces
7
2
Double Faults
5
80% ( 60 of 75)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 54 of 83)
46% ( 24 of 52)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 23 of 49)
55% ( 6 of 11)
Break Points Won
38% ( 3 of 8)
34% ( 43 of 127)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 55 of 132)
139
Total Points Won
120
L
7-5 3-6 6-1 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Lorenzo Sonego
Player
Ugo Humbert
71% ( 74 of 104)
1st Serve %
55% ( 63 of 115)
8
Aces
3
4
Double Faults
6
76% ( 56 of 74)
1st Serve Won
75% ( 47 of 63)
57% ( 17 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 25 of 52)
33% ( 4 of 12)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
30% ( 31 of 104)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 43 of 115)
116
Total Points Won
103
W
6-4 2-6 6-4 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Player
Lorenzo Sonego
68% ( 34 of 50)
1st Serve %
70% ( 37 of 53)
8
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
3
82% ( 28 of 34)
1st Serve Won
76% ( 28 of 37)
75% ( 12 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 7 of 16)
50% ( 2 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
20% ( 10 of 50)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 18 of 53)
58
Total Points Won
45
L
6-3 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Lorenzo Sonego
Player
Jeff Wolf
68% ( 40 of 59)
1st Serve %
52% ( 26 of 50)
6
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
2
73% ( 29 of 40)
1st Serve Won
81% ( 21 of 26)
68% ( 13 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 7 of 24)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
29% ( 17 of 59)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 22 of 50)
64
Total Points Won
45
W
6-3 6-3 H2H
SF
cross
Francesco Passaro
Player
Lorenzo Sonego
73% ( 36 of 49)
1st Serve %
70% ( 31 of 44)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
1
86% ( 31 of 36)
1st Serve Won
48% ( 15 of 31)
54% ( 7 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
69% ( 9 of 13)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
22% ( 11 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 20 of 44)
58
Total Points Won
35
L
6-3 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Lorenzo Sonego
Player
Federico Coria
60% ( 56 of 94)
1st Serve %
71% ( 65 of 92)
3
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
0
68% ( 38 of 56)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 39 of 65)
47% ( 18 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 14 of 27)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
36% ( 4 of 11)
40% ( 38 of 94)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 39 of 92)
95
Total Points Won
91
W
3-6 6-4 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Dusan Lajovic
Player
Lorenzo Sonego
75% ( 75 of 100)
1st Serve %
61% ( 57 of 94)
3
Aces
7
1
Double Faults
4
75% ( 56 of 75)
1st Serve Won
77% ( 44 of 57)
60% ( 15 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 17 of 37)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
29% ( 29 of 100)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 33 of 94)
104
Total Points Won
90
L
6-3 6-7(5) 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Emilio Nava
Player
Lorenzo Sonego
48% ( 40 of 84)
1st Serve %
65% ( 44 of 68)
5
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
4
70% ( 28 of 40)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 31 of 44)
57% ( 25 of 44)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 9 of 24)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
18% ( 2 of 11)
37% ( 31 of 84)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 28 of 68)
81
Total Points Won
71
L
7-6(4) 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Lorenzo Sonego
Player
Alex Michelsen
62% ( 51 of 82)
1st Serve %
63% ( 50 of 79)
6
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
3
61% ( 31 of 51)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 29 of 50)
61% ( 19 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 15 of 29)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
60% ( 3 of 5)
39% ( 32 of 82)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 35 of 79)
85
Total Points Won
76
W
6-3 2-6 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Jannik Sinner
Player
Lorenzo Sonego
69% ( 29 of 42)
1st Serve %
59% ( 26 of 44)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
1
86% ( 25 of 29)
1st Serve Won
54% ( 14 of 26)
62% ( 8 of 13)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 7 of 18)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
21% ( 9 of 42)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 23 of 44)
56
Total Points Won
30
L
6-0 6-3 H2H

Carlos Alcaraz Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
F
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Alexander Zverev
60% ( 96 of 159)
1st Serve %
73% ( 97 of 133)
3
Aces
8
6
Double Faults
6
65% ( 62 of 96)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 61 of 97)
49% ( 31 of 63)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 12 of 36)
56% ( 9 of 16)
Break Points Won
26% ( 6 of 23)
42% ( 66 of 159)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 60 of 133)
153
Total Points Won
139
W
6-3 2-6 5-7 6-1 6-2 H2H
SF
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Jannik Sinner
66% ( 103 of 157)
1st Serve %
56% ( 76 of 135)
8
Aces
7
7
Double Faults
8
66% ( 68 of 103)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 56 of 76)
46% ( 25 of 54)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 27 of 59)
43% ( 6 of 14)
Break Points Won
60% ( 6 of 10)
41% ( 64 of 157)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 52 of 135)
145
Total Points Won
147
W
2-6 6-3 3-6 6-4 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
73% ( 61 of 84)
1st Serve %
61% ( 60 of 98)
3
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
4
74% ( 45 of 61)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 39 of 60)
74% ( 17 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 20 of 38)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
26% ( 22 of 84)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 39 of 98)
101
Total Points Won
81
W
6-3 7-6(3) 6-4 H2H
R4
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Felix Auger Aliassime
67% ( 53 of 79)
1st Serve %
57% ( 48 of 84)
1
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
5
75% ( 40 of 53)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 29 of 48)
54% ( 14 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 14 of 36)
38% ( 6 of 16)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
32% ( 25 of 79)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 41 of 84)
95
Total Points Won
68
W
6-3 6-3 6-1 H2H
R3
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Sebastian Korda
78% ( 70 of 90)
1st Serve %
58% ( 72 of 124)
3
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
2
73% ( 51 of 70)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 44 of 72)
65% ( 13 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 25 of 52)
33% ( 4 of 12)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
29% ( 26 of 90)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 55 of 124)
119
Total Points Won
95
W
6-4 7-6(5) 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Jesper De Jong
70% ( 78 of 112)
1st Serve %
58% ( 72 of 124)
2
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
7
64% ( 50 of 78)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 40 of 72)
50% ( 17 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 23 of 52)
44% ( 8 of 18)
Break Points Won
42% ( 5 of 12)
40% ( 45 of 112)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 61 of 124)
128
Total Points Won
108
W
6-3 6-4 2-6 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Jeff Wolf
70% ( 47 of 67)
1st Serve %
56% ( 37 of 66)
5
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
1
70% ( 33 of 47)
1st Serve Won
46% ( 17 of 37)
65% ( 13 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
28% ( 8 of 29)
64% ( 9 of 14)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
31% ( 21 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
62% ( 41 of 66)
87
Total Points Won
46
W
6-1 6-2 6-1 H2H
QF
cross
Andrey Rublev
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
74% ( 64 of 86)
1st Serve %
70% ( 57 of 81)
5
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
2
80% ( 51 of 64)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 34 of 57)
45% ( 10 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
71% ( 17 of 24)
23% ( 3 of 13)
Break Points Won
13% ( 1 of 8)
29% ( 25 of 86)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 30 of 81)
91
Total Points Won
76
L
4-6 6-3 6-2 H2H
R4
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Jan-Lennard Struff
63% ( 83 of 131)
1st Serve %
61% ( 63 of 103)
3
Aces
10
4
Double Faults
4
59% ( 49 of 83)
1st Serve Won
78% ( 49 of 63)
69% ( 33 of 48)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 17 of 40)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
20% ( 2 of 10)
37% ( 49 of 131)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 37 of 103)
119
Total Points Won
115
W
6-3 6-7(5) 7-6(4) H2H
R3
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Thiago Seyboth Wild
67% ( 31 of 46)
1st Serve %
54% ( 33 of 61)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
5
87% ( 27 of 31)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 22 of 33)
47% ( 7 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 9 of 28)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
26% ( 12 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 30 of 61)
64
Total Points Won
43
W
6-3 6-3 H2H

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